推薦產(chǎn)品
3-(4-chlorophenyl)-4-phenyl-4,5-dihydro-1H-pyrazole 2-(chloromethyl)-3-methylpyridinehydrochloride 1-(2-bromo-4-methylphenyl)ethanone 3-chloroisoquinoline-4-carbonitrile 5,8-dichloropyrido[3,2-d]pyridazine 2-bromomalononitrile 2-(4-(bromomethyl)phenyl)benzo[d]thiazole 1-(bromomethyl)-3-methoxy-2-nitrobenzene 6-bromo-1H-[1,2,3]triazolo[4,5-b]pyridine 4-iodo-2-((trimethylsilyloxy)methyl)thiazole 6-iodoimidazo[1,2-a]pyridine-3-carbonitrile 2-(4-chlorophenyl)-2-morpholinoacetonitrile 4-chloro-7H-pyrrolo[2,3-d]pyrimidine 4-chloroisothiazole 5-bromo-6-chloro-1H-indole 7-chloro-3H-imidazo[4,5-b]pyridine ethyl3-(4-formylphenyl)propanoate 2,3-dibromobenzaldehyde 1-(5H-chromeno[2,3-b]pyridin-7-yl)ethanone 5H-chromeno[2,3-b]pyridin-5-one 3-chloroisoquinoline-4-carbaldehyde (E)-2-(3-oxoprop-1-enyl)benzaldehyde methyl4-formyl-3-nitrobenzoate 5,6-dimethoxy-2,2-dimethyl-2,3-dihydro-1H-inden-1-one 1-methylbicyclo[4.1.0]heptan-3-one 3-nitro-4-(trifluoromethoxy)benzaldehyde 2-hydroxyquinoline-6-carbaldehyde 2-nitro-3-(trifluoromethyl)benzaldehyde 1-(2-fluoro-4-methoxyphenyl)propan-2-one tert-butyl3-fluoro-4-oxopiperidine-1-carboxylate tert-butyl3-oxopropylcarbamate 2,2-dimethylcyclohexanone 9H-carbazole-3-carbaldehyde N,N-dimethyl-2-oxoacetamide 2-methylpent-4-yn-2-ol 3-tert-butyl-4-hydroxybenzonitrile 4-bromo-2-tert-butylphenol 1,3-dibutoxypropan-2-ol methyl4-hydroxyquinoline-6-carboxylate methyl3-cyano-4-hydroxybenzoate 4-chloro-6-methoxyquinolin-7-ol 3,4-dihydro-2H-benzo[b][1,4]oxazin-7-ol 2-(2-aminothiazol-5-yl)ethanolhydrochloride (R)-ethyl2-chloropropanoate (S)-4-amino-5-(4,4-dimethylcyclohexylamino)-5-oxopentanoicacid (1s,4s)-4-hydroxycyclohexanecarboxylicacid (S)-2-(tetrahydrofuran-3-yloxy)aceticacid (1S,4R)-1-methyl-4-(prop-1-en-2-yl)cyclohex-2-enol (R)-4-(hydroxymethyl)oxazolidin-2-one (S)-4-(hydroxymethyl)oxazolidin-2-one 化工資訊 替代作用帶來上漲動力
非洲豬瘟疫情幾乎蔓延到各省市，豬存欄量大幅下降：各省份的生豬存欄量下降幅度巨大，最高的甚至達(dá)到了85%。
發(fā)現(xiàn)疫病的養(yǎng)豬場，首先要有42天殺滅期，接下來是15天無害化處理，然后進(jìn)行“哨兵豬”養(yǎng)殖15天，檢查后未發(fā)現(xiàn)新疫情方可解除封鎖，整個周期會延續(xù)近4個月。在此期間豬場產(chǎn)量為零。復(fù)產(chǎn)的困難決定了未來半年乃至更長時間內(nèi)存欄都不會有效提高。
預(yù)計(jì)中秋國慶期間豬肉價格還會走高，年終前也會維持在高位。豬肉供應(yīng)的減少以及豬價飆升會自然引發(fā)禽蛋水產(chǎn)的消費(fèi)替代，蛋價因此得到有力支撐。近年來不斷攀升的禽蛋消費(fèi)有望再創(chuàng)高點(diǎn)。蛋雞存欄量下降當(dāng)前0—120天的后備雞占比約26.14%，環(huán)比減少3.46%。6、7月育雛雞補(bǔ)欄大幅減少，而這幾個月的補(bǔ)欄對應(yīng)12月至2月的雞蛋供給，疊加年末消費(fèi)旺季，雞蛋價格有望得到更多提振。7月450天以上高齡待淘老雞占比約10.7%，環(huán)比增加1.99%。在肉類價格普漲的背景下，養(yǎng)殖企業(yè)積極淘汰這部分老雞。淘汰量的增加進(jìn)一步緩解了雞蛋供應(yīng)壓力。
消費(fèi)節(jié)奏的變化
由于中秋、國慶的消費(fèi)備貨，以及8、9月大中院校開學(xué)，通常蛋價的年內(nèi)高點(diǎn)會在中秋前出現(xiàn)。考慮到今年豬肉的刺激帶動作用將長時間存在，蛋價上漲的時間跨度預(yù)計(jì)會延長至國慶前后。
